Maximilian Speicher

… Which Still Doesn’t Look Very Good for Harris. So far, in my own little forecast for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, I’ve produced two predictions: ① One purely based on a weighted average of high-quality 2024 polling. ② The above, but corrected by the average of the 2016/20 polling error. (Please see this article for details on methodology.) From now on, I’m going to include a third one, assuming this year’s polling error will