It may be the world’s largest stock by market capitalization, but Apple doesn’t appear to be sitting still as tariffs threaten the tech giant’s bottom line. Can a major investment in boosting its US manufacturing capabilities grow its long-term attractiveness to investors?
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) intends to invest more than $500 billion in the US over the coming four years, starting with a new advanced manufacturing factory based in Texas.
Crucially, the firm expects to create 20,000 new jobs as a result of its initiative, with many new roles opening up in research and development, software, and artificial intelligence (AI).
Although Apple’s information was more hazy when it came to precisely where the $500 billion would go, with the tech leader stating that the sum included everything from spending on suppliers to Apple TV+ productions, CEO Tim Cook claimed that the move underlined the company’s bullish stance on the future of American innovation.
Apple’s announcement came just days following a meeting between Cook and President Donald Trump, who has long claimed to prioritize corporate investment in the US.
The investment is set to bring a new 250,000 sq ft factory in Houston, Texas, which will focus on producing Apple Intelligence AI servers that had previously been manufactured outside of the United States.
It’s for this reason that onlookers have suggested Apple’s spending has been prompted by the introduction of steep trade tariffs between the US and China. But what does it mean for AAPL’s prospects on Wall Street?
Navigating Trade Wars
William Kerwin, senior equity analyst for Morningstar, has suggested that Apple’s spending plan is a direct strategy to earn an exemption from tariffs on imports from China. With almost 70% of the firm’s iPhones manufactured in China, the prospect of the additional 10% tariffs on imports could severely impede Apple’s growth potential during the second Trump Presidency.
Apple clearly knows its way around Trump exemptions and managed to gain an exemption during the President’s first term in office. This makes the timing of the recent announcement particularly telling and may help the company earn extra exemptions to avoid tariffs on other imports outside of China.
Trump’s willingness to reward organizations that make significant investments in the United States was underlined by his statement when the President-elect claimed that any person or company investing at least $1 billion in the country would receive ‘fully expedited approvals and permits’.
The President’s controversial stance extending the gesture to cover ‘all environmental permits’ further confirms his growth at all costs stance.
But Trump’s willingness to use tariffs as a key negotiating tool with trade partners has caused more leading Wall Street firms to struggle for momentum.
The S&P 500 has been largely stagnant since the President’s inauguration, and the introduction of tariffs has prompted a rethink on how firms manage their supply chains.
“Trump’s trade policies are likely to lead to significant shifts in global markets and profoundly affect US export-oriented industries,” explained Maxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom24. “While tariffs may protect certain domestic sectors from foreign competition in the short term, they may also lead to higher costs for consumers and businesses due to higher prices of imported goods.”
“Consequently, companies facing higher costs of production may have difficulty with profit margins unless they can pass these costs on to consumers without losing market share.”
This suggests that Apple’s strategy is to bypass a prospective US trade war by investing in domestic manufacturing as an olive branch to the President. The move may help to foster more market outperformance while other Wall Street leaders struggle to appease Trump’s aggressive stance on tariffs.
Is Apple Ripe for Picking?
In its first quarter fiscal earnings, Apple reported a December-quarter revenue increase of 4% year-over-year to $124.3 billion while iPhone revenue dropped 1% over the same time frame to $69.1 billion.
This softening iPhone growth cycle remains a sticking point for the company, and it appears that the successful rollout of artificial intelligence features will be crucial to reclaiming lost ground throughout the global smartphone market.
Despite this, Apple’s plan to recruit 20,000 new workers at a time when at least 95,000 US tech workers have faced layoffs over the past year illustrates that AAPL is a stock that’s focused on investing for growth.
With many of these workers based in research and development roles, it may be a timely recruitment drive for a company that’s looking for generative AI innovations to recapture lost iPhone sales.
On February 11, AAPL experienced an uptick on Wall Street in the wake of news that Apple had chosen to partner with e-commerce firm Alibaba (BABA) to bring AI services to devices in China, underlining that investors share the same outlook on the value of artificial intelligence.
For investors, Apple’s flat growth in the first two months of 2025 shows that the stock is succumbing to more widespread struggles on Wall Street, but in strategizing growth beyond the supply chain complications posed by Trump’s tariffs, its stock may offer plenty of resilience throughout the President’s second term.
Uncertainty to Impact Stocks
At this stage, it’s important to reiterate that Trump’s Presidency has been characterized by uncertainty and unpredictability. With the President’s famously outspoken stance on key policy decisions, we can expect the S&P 500 to remain more volatile over the foreseeable future.
With this in mind, it’s wise for investors looking at AAPL stock to continually audit the wider macroeconomic landscape for signs of new trends emerging and new tariff developments that could impact the stock.
Although the future is uncertain, Apple’s proactive strategy to invest in US manufacturing is likely to win favor with the President. Looking further afield, the tech giant’s $500 billion plan could be a great futureproofing measure.